Why your Preakness Stakes 2026 horse can, can't win Triple Crown race

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Why your Preakness Stakes 2026 horse can, can't win Triple Crown race

Why your Preakness Stakes 2026 horse can, can't win Triple Crown race

Who should you pick to win the 2026 Preakness Stakes? Here's why each horse in the Laurel Park race can — and can't — become a Triple Crown winner.

Why your Preakness Stakes 2026 horse can, can't win Triple Crown race

Who should you pick to win the 2026 Preakness Stakes? Here's why each horse in the Laurel Park race can — and can't — become a Triple Crown winner.

The 2026 Preakness Stakes is shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable Triple Crown races in recent memory. With the field moving to Laurel Park this year due to renovations at historic Pimlico, there's an extra layer of excitement—and uncertainty—for fans and bettors alike.

Let's break down the contenders. Iron Honor enters as the morning-line favorite at 9-2 odds, but don't let that fool you. Trainer Chad Brown admitted he was surprised to see his horse at the top, especially after a disappointing seventh-place finish in the Grade 2 Wood Memorial. Still, Brown believes Iron Honor fits well here, and the shorter field could work in his favor.

Right behind him, three horses sit at 5-1 odds: Taj Mahal, Chip Honcho, and Incredibolt. Ocelli rounds out the top contenders at 6-1. Of these, only three—Ocelli, Incredibolt, and Robusta—actually ran in the Kentucky Derby. Ocelli impressed with a third-place finish, while Incredibolt took sixth and Robusta faded to 14th.

Now, let's talk about what makes each horse a potential winner—and what might hold them back.

Taj Mahal has a compelling story: he's undefeated in three career starts, all at Laurel Park. Trainer Brittany Russell could make history as the second female trainer in a row to win a Triple Crown race, following Cherie DeVaux's Kentucky Derby victory with Golden Tempo. But history isn't on his side—the last Federico Tesio winner to also take the Preakness was Deputed Testimony way back in 1983.

Ocelli showed serious grit in the Derby, taking the lead with just a furlong to go before settling for third. That kind of late kick is exactly what you want in a 1 3/16-mile race. However, there's a glaring stat: no maiden has won the Preakness since 1888. That's a 138-year drought, and it's a heavy weight to carry.

Incredibolt has been a model of consistency, hitting the board in three of his last five starts. Trainer Donnie Von Hemel comes from a Hall of Fame family, which adds to the pedigree. But can he finally break through against this talented field?

With post time set for 7:01 p.m. ET on Saturday and live coverage on NBC from 4-7:30 p.m., the stage is set for a thrilling afternoon. Whether you're a seasoned handicapper or just looking for a reason to root, this Preakness has all the drama—and fashion—that makes Triple Crown season so special.

So, grab your finest Derby attire, place your bets, and get ready for a race that could redefine the Triple Crown chase. Who will you be cheering for?

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