The 2026 college softball regular season has officially wrapped up, and the Florida State Seminoles are once again standing tall. As ACC champions, they're heading into the postseason with momentum, sweeping Boston College to claim the outright title. With a stellar 46-8 overall record and a dominant 21-3 mark in conference play, FSU has earned the No. 1 seed in the ACC Softball Tournament. That top spot comes with a double-bye, meaning the Seminoles won't take the field until Thursday at Palmer Park in Charlottesville, Virginia.

But despite their impressive finish, the latest bracketology from Softball America has the Seminoles slipping. They've dropped to the No. 15 overall seed in the projected NCAA Tournament field of 64—a two-spot fall from last week's predictions. While they're still slated to host a regional in Tallahassee, the road just got tougher. The projection pairs them with a challenging group: No. 2-seed Mississippi State Bulldogs, No. 3-seed USF Bulls, and No. 4-seeded Miami (OH) RedHawks.

History offers some mixed signals. FSU holds a 9-7 all-time record against Mississippi State, but the Bulldogs have won the last two meetings in Tallahassee. Against USF, the Seminoles are a perfect 3-0, outscoring them 21-1. And while they lead Miami (OH) 13-6, they haven't faced the RedHawks since 2010. That's a lot of recent history to consider as the postseason heats up.

The ACC is flexing its muscle in the projections, with eight teams making the field—the second-most in the country. Two are set to host regionals: FSU and No. 9 Duke Blue Devils. For Seminoles fans, the message is clear: the path to Oklahoma City starts at home, but it won't be easy. Stay tuned as the tournament picture solidifies.