The New Orleans Saints might have the perfect opportunity to turn things around in 2026—if they can capitalize on a schedule that's shaping up to be one of the league's easiest.
According to projections from Las Vegas oddsmakers and analyzed by Warren Sharp of SharpFootballAnalysis.com, the Saints currently hold the NFL's second-easiest schedule for the upcoming season. Only the Detroit Lions rank ahead of them in terms of favorable matchups, making New Orleans a team to watch for a potential playoff push.
So, how does this model work? Sharp explains that by using projected win totals alongside current season data, the strength of schedule analysis offers a more dynamic and accurate forecast than traditional methods. It's a system that has proven reliable in recent years—just two of the eight teams with the toughest schedules in 2025 (the Texans and Rams) made the playoffs, while powerhouses like the Chiefs and Vikings found themselves on the wrong side of that list.
For Saints fans, this is encouraging news. A lighter schedule historically increases playoff odds, especially when compared to division rivals like the Carolina Panthers, who face the third-toughest slate in the league. However, no projection is foolproof. As Sharp notes, one play, one bounce of the ball, or one missed step can change everything—from a winning streak to a postseason berth.
Despite the favorable outlook, the Saints aren't expected to dominate just yet. Their projected win total sits at 7.5 games, which would be a notable improvement over their six-win 2025 campaign but still shy of a guaranteed winning season. The key will be whether New Orleans can turn those projected opportunities into actual victories on the field.
Mark your calendars: The NFL's official 2026 schedule release is set for Thursday at 7 p.m. CT. And for Saints fans with international travel on their minds, the team's opponent for their game in Paris, France, will be announced Wednesday at 8 a.m. CT.
As the offseason unfolds, the Saints have a chance to prove that an easy schedule isn't just a statistic—it's a stepping stone back to relevance.