UFC Vegas 117 predictions

2 min read
UFC Vegas 117 predictions

UFC Vegas 117 predictions

Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa are at a crossroads

UFC Vegas 117 predictions

Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa are at a crossroads

Arnold Allen and Melquizael Costa walk into the Octagon this Saturday night at a career-defining crossroads—and for fight fans looking for high-stakes featherweight action, this is the main event that truly delivers.

Allen, once the division's quiet dark horse, piled up wins for years without much fanfare from matchmakers. Now, with three losses in his last four fights against elite competition, the pressure is on to prove he's more than a top-10 gatekeeper. His recent setbacks—close, competitive bouts against Jean Silva, Movsar Evloev, and Max Holloway—show he's still a serious threat, but that extra gear to topple the very best has been just out of reach.

That's where Costa comes in. Riding a 7-2 UFC run at featherweight (both losses came at lightweight), he's been on a tear, finishing durable veterans like Dan Ige in his last two outings. A win over Allen would be the biggest of his career and could rocket him into title contention.

Don't let the Paramount+ billing fool you—while Ronda Rousey and Gina Carano grab headlines elsewhere, the Meta Apex is where the real action lives. This seven-fight early prelim kicks off at 5 p.m. ET, followed by a six-fight main card at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, May 16.

Prediction? This could be the weekend's best fight, right up there with Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry for pure entertainment value. Allen and Costa are expertly matched: Allen is nearly impossible to finish, while Costa has been stacking up KOs and submissions. Something's got to give. Allen enters as the slight favorite on past competition, but Costa is a live underdog hungry to crash the championship conversation. Expect fireworks.

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