Get ready for an explosive night of fights as UFC 328 descends upon Newark, N.J., with a middleweight title showdown that has fans buzzing. Undefeated champion Khamzat Chimaev (15-0) puts his perfect record on the line against third-ranked Sean Strickland (30-7) in the main event, live from Prudential Center this Saturday. The action kicks off at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+, and the stakes couldn't be higher. Chimaev, a relentless force since joining the UFC in 2020, is chasing his 10th win in the promotion, while Strickland aims to build momentum with a second straight victory. According to the latest UFC 328 odds, Chimaev enters as the heavy favorite at -500, meaning a $500 bet would net $100, while Strickland is the underdog at +380.
The co-main event promises fireworks too, featuring a flyweight title bout between Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira. Taira, boasting an impressive 18-1 record, is the slight favorite at -155, making him a key name to watch for your UFC bets. Four preliminary fights and four early prelims round out the card, offering plenty of action for fight fans.
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When it comes to picking winners, Mike McClure's proven computer model is a game-changer. Running 10,000 simulations for every fight, it analyzes each bout round-by-round, factoring in dynamic win probabilities, fighter attributes, and finishing tendencies—whether it's a power puncher, grappler, or decision specialist. The model also accounts for accumulated damage that increases the likelihood of finishes in later rounds. Tested against over 500 fights from 2023 to 2025, it has delivered more than 18 units of profit, a solid 6.1% ROI on UFC betting. It started strong in the new Paramount+ era, correctly predicting Justin Gaethje to win outright at +195 and nailing the Over in total rounds at UFC 324.
Now, the model has dissected Chimaev vs. Strickland from every angle, revealing top betting insights you won't want to miss. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just getting into the octagon action, these predictions could give you the edge you need for UFC 328.