UFC 328 odds, props, card: Chimaev vs. Strickland picks, predictions from 10,000 computer simulations

3 min read
UFC 328 odds, props, card: Chimaev vs. Strickland picks, predictions from 10,000 computer simulations

UFC 328 odds, props, card: Chimaev vs. Strickland picks, predictions from 10,000 computer simulations

SportsLine's UFC projection model reveals its UFC 328 picks featuring Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland for Saturday's bout in Newark, N.J., on Paramount+

UFC 328 odds, props, card: Chimaev vs. Strickland picks, predictions from 10,000 computer simulations

SportsLine's UFC projection model reveals its UFC 328 picks featuring Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland for Saturday's bout in Newark, N.J., on Paramount+

Get ready for an explosive night of fights as UFC 328 descends upon Newark, N.J., with a middleweight title showdown that promises fireworks. Undefeated champion Khamzat Chimaev (15-0) puts his perfect record on the line against the gritty third-ranked contender Sean Strickland (30-7) in the main event, live from Prudential Center on Saturday at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

Chimaev, who has dominated since joining the UFC in July 2020, is riding a nine-fight winning streak and looks to extend his reign as the division's king. Strickland, meanwhile, is hungry to bounce back and build momentum after a recent victory. The odds reflect Chimaev's dominance, with the champion listed as a heavy -520 favorite, meaning you'd need to risk $520 to win $100. Strickland enters as the underdog at +390, offering a tempting payout for those who believe in an upset.

The co-main event is equally thrilling, featuring a flyweight title bout between rising stars Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira. Taira, boasting an impressive 18-1 record, enters as the -155 favorite, making him a solid pick for your betting card. The preliminary card kicks off with four fights, plus four early prelims, so there's plenty of action from start to finish.

For fans looking to stream every punch and submission, Paramount+ is the exclusive home for all UFC numbered events and Fight Nights, with no extra cost beyond your subscription. Plans start at just $8.99 per month, giving you access to the UFC, UEFA Champions League, college basketball, NFL, and a library of movies and shows. Sign up now to catch all the live action.

When it comes to betting, sports enthusiasts are turning to Mike McClure's proven computer model, which has crunched the numbers for UFC 328. The model runs 10,000 simulations for every fight, analyzing round-by-round dynamics, fighter attributes, finish probabilities, and damage accumulation. It's been tested against over 500 fights from 2023 to 2025, generating more than 18 units of profit—a solid 6.1% ROI on UFC betting. The model started strong for the Paramount+ era, correctly predicting Justin Gaethje's outright win (+195) and the Over in total rounds at UFC 324.

Now, the model has zeroed in on Chimaev vs. Strickland, offering top betting insights. Whether you're backing the champion or the challenger, this fight is set to deliver high-stakes drama. Don't miss your chance to gear up and get in on the action—check out the latest odds and make your picks count.

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