Stanley Cup Playoffs 2026: Picks, predictions for every first-round series, including Lightning vs. Canadiens

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Stanley Cup Playoffs 2026: Picks, predictions for every first-round series, including Lightning vs. Canadiens

Stanley Cup Playoffs 2026: Picks, predictions for every first-round series, including Lightning vs. Canadiens

The chase for the Stanley Cup begins on Saturday with a robust first round

Stanley Cup Playoffs 2026: Picks, predictions for every first-round series, including Lightning vs. Canadiens

The chase for the Stanley Cup begins on Saturday with a robust first round

The chase for the Stanley Cup begins this Saturday, and the first round is packed with heavyweight matchups that promise high-stakes drama from the opening faceoff. Before the puck drops on Game 1, we're breaking down every series and predicting which eight teams will survive to continue their quest for hockey's ultimate prize.

While debates about the NHL's playoff format will rage on, there's no denying the electric atmosphere of the first round. This year, we're treated to several clashes between legitimate contenders, meaning a championship-caliber team will see its dreams end early.

The marquee matchup might be in the West, where the No. 2 Dallas Stars and No. 3 Minnesota Wild collide. With one powerhouse destined for an early exit, this Central Division battle is a prime candidate to go the full seven games.

Out East, a similar story unfolds as the battle-tested Tampa Bay Lightning face the rising Montreal Canadiens. Both clubs finished with an impressive 106 points, setting the stage for a classic showdown between veteran savvy and youthful ambition. The Lightning's championship pedigree will be tested against a Habs team entering what looks like a wide-open window for success.

From top-tier goaltending duels to defensive battles, the opening round has it all. Here are our picks for who advances.

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Ottawa Senators
Series Odds: Hurricanes -172, Senators +142

On paper, the Hurricanes' 16-point advantage in the standings looks commanding. However, dismissing the Senators as a mere wild card would be a mistake. Carolina's depth and dominant five-on-five play are well-documented, but their strategy of overwhelming shot volume—often from the perimeter—meets its match in Ottawa's structured defense.

The Senators boast one of the league's stingiest defensive units, trailing only the Vegas Golden Knights in suppressing high-danger chances. Anchored by gold medalist and true No. 1 defenseman Jake Sanderson, Ottawa's blue line is formidable. With Thomas Chabot's offensive flair, Artem Zub's shutdown ability, and Jordan Spence's reliable two-way play, they have the tools to frustrate Carolina's attack. While the Hurricanes possess serious firepower, Ottawa's defensive discipline makes this a far tighter series than the standings suggest.

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