Serie A is heading into its final two matchdays, and the race for European qualification has never been tighter. In a scenario that would send shockwaves through Italian football, five clubs—Napoli, Juventus, Milan, Roma, and newly-promoted Como—could all finish the season on 71 points, creating absolute chaos for Champions League and Europa League spots.
Currently, three Champions League berths remain up for grabs, with just five points separating these contenders. Fifth and sixth place would secure Europa League qualification, while seventh is likely headed for the Conference League via Atalanta. But if results fall a certain way, we could witness a historic tiebreaker nightmare.
Here's how it could happen: Napoli would need just one point from their final two games against Pisa and Udinese. Juventus would need three points from clashes with Fiorentina and Torino. Milan would require four points against Genoa and Cagliari, while Roma would need the same from meetings with Lazio and Verona. Meanwhile, Como—the surprise package of the season—would need to beat both Parma and Cremonese to join the party.
But here's where it gets tricky. In Serie A, when teams are level on points, goal difference doesn't settle the tie. Instead, the league uses head-to-head records—a "classifica avulsa," or mini-league table of results between the tied clubs. In this five-way deadlock, Milan, Napoli, and Como would emerge as Champions League qualifiers, leaving Juventus and Roma to settle for Europa League spots.
Play-offs are only an option in two specific scenarios: a tie for the Scudetto or a tie for relegation. For European places, it's all about who beat whom over the course of the campaign. With two rounds to go, every pass, tackle, and goal carries enormous weight. For fans of these five clubs, the next 180 minutes could define their season—and their European future.
