The Toronto Maple Leafs are just hours away from learning their fate in the 2026 NHL Draft Lottery, and the stakes couldn't be higher. Set to take place Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET from the NHL's headquarters in Secaucus, New Jersey, the lottery will determine which team lands the coveted first overall pick—and whether the Leafs will hold onto their own selection.

According to the official odds released by the league, the Maple Leafs hold 85 of the 1,000 possible combinations in the lottery draw. That puts them in a promising position with the fifth-best odds of winning the top pick. However, there's a catch: Toronto only has a 41.9 percent chance of keeping their first-round selection this year. The pick is top-5 protected, a condition stemming from the March 2027 trade that brought veteran defenseman Brandon Carlo to the Leafs from the Boston Bruins.

For fans hoping to see a new star added to the prospect pool, the math is simple but tense. If the Leafs' combination comes up among the top five, they'll retain the pick. If not, it slides to Boston as part of the deal. The full list of team-by-team combination tables has been released, giving everyone a clear picture of the odds heading into the evening's draw.

Whether you're refreshing your feed or gearing up for the live reveal, this is a moment that could shape Toronto's future—and their draft board—for years to come. Keep your gear ready, Leafs Nation; the lottery is just the beginning.