The NFL's schedule is a complex puzzle, and it looks like another piece is about to shift. While the league continues its push to expand the regular season to 18 games, a more immediate change is on the horizon for the current 17-game format.
According to Mike North, the NFL's Vice President of Broadcast Planning, a key adjustment to the scheduling formula is slated for after the 2028 season—but only if the 18-game proposal doesn't materialize first. This planned tweak addresses a subtle but important competitive balance issue that emerged when the 17th game was introduced back in 2021.
Here’s the situation in simpler terms. The extra 17th game pits teams against an opponent from the opposite conference based on their previous year's division finish. A key part of the formula is the rotation of which conference gets the home-field advantage. The current eight-year cycle, however, has created a slight imbalance where some divisions end up hosting certain inter-conference matchups twice, while always hitting the road for others.
For example, take the AFC East. Under the current rotation, the division hosted the NFC East for their 17th game in both 2021 and 2025. Conversely, they were scheduled for road games against the NFC West in both 2022 and 2026. That extra home game can be a meaningful advantage in the tight playoff races the NFL is known for.
The change planned for after 2028 will "flip" this dynamic for the next eight-year cycle. If the schedule stays at 17 games, the conferences that previously hosted specific matchups will now travel, ensuring a more equitable distribution of home and away games over the long term. It's a strategic move to maintain fairness as the league continues to evolve its calendar, keeping every team's path to the postseason as level as possible.
