The NBA Playoffs are heating up, and Monday night brings a fresh slate of prop bets that could give your sports betting strategy a serious boost. Let's dive into three top plays that stand out from the rest.
Tobias Harris: The Pistons' Engine Keeps Running
Detroit's Tobias Harris has been nothing short of sensational in these playoffs, scoring 20+ points in eight straight games. Heading into Game 4 against the Cleveland Cavaliers (8 p.m. ET), Harris is shooting 50% from the field through the first three games of this series. His over/under for combined points and rebounds sits at 24.5, and SportsLine expert Mike Barner is backing him to clear that mark with ease. "Harris has been the Pistons' second-best player during their playoff run," Barner notes. "He's averaging 21.3 points and 7.7 rebounds over the last 10 games, and his minutes have jumped from 28 per game in the regular season to 36 in the playoffs. With 16.5 shot attempts per game, he's got the volume to hit this over."
Ajay Mitchell: Thunder's Rising Star
In Game 4 of the Lakers vs. Thunder series, all eyes are on Oklahoma City guard Ajay Mitchell. After dropping 24 points in his last outing against Los Angeles, Mitchell's over/under for points plus assists is set at 21.5. SportsLine's Doug Kralstein expects Mitchell to stay hot on the offensive end, making this a compelling prop to watch as the Thunder look to take control of the series.
James Harden: Bouncing Back in Style
Don't count out the Beard just yet. James Harden silenced critics with a strong Game 3 performance, putting up 19 points and seven assists in Cleveland's 116-109 win at home. With the series shifting back to Detroit, Harden's experience and playmaking could be the difference-maker—and a solid prop bet for those looking to ride the momentum.
Why Trust the Model?
These picks come from the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times. Over the past eight-plus seasons, it's returned over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated picks. Entering the second round of the 2026 playoffs, the model is on a blistering 26-9 roll (74%) on top-rated spread picks. Whether you're betting on FanDuel or other top sportsbooks, these insights could give you the edge you need.
From Harris's relentless scoring to Mitchell's breakout and Harden's veteran savvy, Monday's props offer plenty of value. Gear up for the action and make your moves count.