The NBA playoffs are here, and the opening games have largely followed the script, with home favorites holding serve. As we look ahead to Sunday's slate, the expectation is for more of the same, with the Boston Celtics, Oklahoma City Thunder, and San Antonio Spurs poised for commanding Game 1 victories. But looking beyond a single game, there's compelling value in these series finishing quickly. The smart play is targeting all three favorites not just to win, but to do so decisively, with each series staying Under 5.5 total games.

Let's start with the reigning champions. The Oklahoma City Thunder are chasing history, aiming for a third consecutive NBA title. Their first-round dominance has been a hallmark of their recent runs, sweeping their opening opponent in each of the past two playoffs. Facing a Phoenix Suns team that barely survived the play-in tournament, this trend should continue. Even with Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks back in the lineup, Phoenix lacks the firepower and consistency to challenge the league's best team over a seven-game series. Backing the Thunder to sweep at +125 offers serious value for a squad with championship pedigree.

Out West, the San Antonio Spurs present a nightmare matchup for the Portland Trail Blazers. This is a classic case of a deep, well-oiled machine facing a team just happy to be here. The Spurs, led by the unguardable Victor Wembanyama, boast a top-five offense and defense. They have seven players averaging double figures, an overwhelming wave of scoring Portland's middling defense isn't equipped to handle. While this playoff experience is invaluable for a young Blazers core featuring Deni Avdija and Donovan Clingan, the series itself should be short. The Spurs at +200 to sweep is a bold but logical bet on their superior talent and execution.

Finally, the Boston Celtics bring a similar two-way prowess to their matchup. As the other team ranking in the top five for both offensive and defensive efficiency, they are built for playoff domination. Expect them to control their series from the opening tip and close it out efficiently.

For the best value, consider parlaying these series to stay short. A combination of the Thunder and Celtics each finishing in Under 5.5 games, or the Thunder and Spurs each doing the same, amplifies the odds on what looks like a very probable outcome. The first round is about survival and statement-making, and these three contenders are ready to make a loud one.