Looking for the best MLB home run bets today? We've got two left-handed sluggers who are primed to go deep on May 9, 2026. While home run props are notoriously tricky—our season record sits at 7-25—the profits are still climbing, now at $600. That's the beauty of betting on power: you don't need a high hit rate to come out ahead when the odds are right. With all 30 teams in action, today's slate is packed with opportunities. Here are the two hitters offering the best mix of betting value and real power potential.

Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros)
Alvarez is having a monster 2026 season, with 13 home runs in just 39 games—tied for third-most in MLB. His batted-ball metrics are off the charts: fifth in barrels per plate appearance (13.4%), second in maximum exit velocity (117.8 mph), and seventh in launch-angle sweet-spot rate (45.6%). He's been especially dangerous against righties on the road, with seven homers in 109 plate appearances this year and 23 since 2024. Today, he faces right-hander Chase Burns, who has allowed 1.69 HR/9 to lefties since last season. Even better, the game is at Great American Ball Park, which boasts a 119 park factor for home runs—third-highest in MLB since 2025. Alvarez's odds are short, but his likelihood of going yard makes this a smart bet.

Liam Hicks (Team TBD)
Hicks has quietly transformed his approach at the plate, and the results are showing. After making key adjustments to his batted-ball profile, he's become a legitimate power threat. While his raw home run totals may not jump off the page, his improved exit velocity and launch angle suggest more long balls are coming. In today's matchup, he faces a pitcher who has struggled with left-handed power hitters, and the ballpark conditions are favorable. Hicks offers better betting odds than Alvarez, making him a high-value pick for those looking to maximize profit. Keep an eye on him as a dark horse to clear the fences.