Michigan football is staring down one of the toughest roads to the College Football Playoff in 2026—and it's not just because of a new coaching staff or a rebuilt roster. In the expanded Big Ten, where teams only play half the league in conference, schedules are far from equal. And the Wolverines are learning that the hard way.
After entering 2025 with what was statistically the easiest schedule in the conference, Michigan finished 9-4. Half of those losses came against nonconference opponents, including a 24-13 defeat to Oklahoma in Week 2 and a 41-27 loss to Texas in the Cheez-It Citrus Bowl. This season, the story is entirely different.
CBS Sports recently ranked the toughest schedules among College Football Playoff hopefuls, and Michigan landed at No. 4—behind only Texas, Oklahoma, and Ohio State. That's a steep climb for a team breaking in an entirely new staff and retooling its roster.
The Wolverines will face Oklahoma again in Week 2, this time at home in Ann Arbor. Brent Venables' squad comes off a CFP appearance in 2025 and returns Heisman Trophy candidate John Mateer at quarterback. That's a heavyweight matchup right out of the gate.
But the real gauntlet lies in the Big Ten schedule. Michigan appears to ease into the season with six of its first seven games at home, but those home games include Oklahoma, a consistent Iowa program, and a rebuilt Penn State squad. Then comes the kicker: the Wolverines' seventh game is against defending national champion Indiana.
After what look like two of the easiest league games—at Rutgers and home against Michigan State—November turns into a monster. On November 14, Michigan makes its first-ever trip to Autzen Stadium to face Oregon. And the schedule doesn't let up from there.
For a team looking to prove itself under new leadership, this schedule is both a challenge and an opportunity. If the Wolverines can navigate this minefield, they'll be battle-tested for the playoff. But if they stumble, the road will only get harder.
