The NBA Draft Lottery is set for Sunday, and for the Miami Heat, it's a moment that could go one of two ways: over before it starts, or instantly electric. There's no middle ground.

Given the Heat's slim odds, their logo will likely be one of the first two revealed during the ABC broadcast (3 p.m. ET), which means they'll be picking at either No. 13 or No. 14 in the June 23 first round. But if their name isn't called early, it means they've beaten the 4.8% odds and jumped into the top four—or even landed the No. 1 pick, a 1% shot that would send shockwaves through South Beach.

Still, the lottery isn't just about what the Heat might get. It's about what their competition in the Eastern Conference might get, too. After a fifth consecutive trip to the play-in round, Erik Spoelstra's squad is desperate to avoid a repeat performance. And while the Heat have been relatively lucky in recent years—three of the last six No. 1 picks (Cooper Flagg, Victor Wembanyama, and Anthony Edwards) went West—the East has seen its share of game-changers.

When a top pick lands in the East, it changes the landscape. Just ask the Detroit Pistons, who landed Cade Cunningham in 2021 and have been building around him ever since. The Orlando Magic took Paolo Banchero at No. 1 in 2022, but they're still searching for their first playoff series win. And the Atlanta Hawks' selection of Zaccharie Risacher in 2024 is already trending toward bust territory.

So if the Heat don't move up, which lottery outcomes could have the biggest impact on their future?

Indiana Pacers: Regardless of where they land, the Pacers will look dramatically different next season. Tyrese Haliburton is returning from an Achilles tear, and Ivica Zubac is finally set for meaningful rotation minutes after years on the bench. A team that went 19-63 this season could be a much tougher out in 2025-26.