Inside the NBA Draft Lottery, where the Pacers’ big gamble came up agonizingly short

2 min read
Inside the NBA Draft Lottery, where the Pacers’ big gamble came up agonizingly short

Inside the NBA Draft Lottery, where the Pacers’ big gamble came up agonizingly short

The Pacers had slightly better than 50/50 odds to get their center of the future and their own lottery pick, but that’s not how things worked out.

Inside the NBA Draft Lottery, where the Pacers’ big gamble came up agonizingly short

The Pacers had slightly better than 50/50 odds to get their center of the future and their own lottery pick, but that’s not how things worked out.

The Indiana Pacers walked into the NBA Draft lottery with their hearts in their throats and a franchise-altering gamble hanging in the balance. President of basketball operations Kevin Pritchard barely slept the night before—and for good reason.

Back in February, the Pacers made a bold trade to acquire center Ivica Zubac from the Los Angeles Clippers. The price? A 2026 first-round pick with complex protections: it would only go to L.A. if it landed between picks 5 and 9. If it fell anywhere else—1-4 or 10-30—Indiana kept it. On lottery night, a machine full of ping-pong balls held the answer. The math was simple but agonizing: a 52.1% chance the Pacers held onto their pick, and a 47.9% chance it went to the Clippers.

It wasn't just a coin flip—it was closer to Russian roulette with almost three bullets in the chamber. Heads, and the trade looks brilliant: Indiana lands a center who nearly made an All-NBA team in 2024-25, while sending out two future first-rounders with worse lottery odds and two players who were fading from their plans. A near-perfect move. Tails, and the picture darkens: the Pacers finish with the league's second-worst record, Zubac barely plays due to injuries, and they lose a top-five pick in a loaded draft on top of everything else.

"The truth is, I didn't sleep much last night," Pritchard admitted. "Chad (Buchanan) and I kind of got away and walked. We were trying to plan out everything—for the good, for the bad."

As the lottery results were revealed, Pritchard said his heart was pounding like Game 7 of the NBA Finals. He would have made a terrible poker player. In the end, the odds didn't fall Indiana's way. The gamble came up just short—a reminder that in the NBA, even the best-laid plans can hinge on the bounce of a ball.

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