As the 2026 Formula 1 season roars back to life in Miami, it's time to check in on the pre-season predictions we made after those telling winter tests in Bahrain. Some forecasts are holding up beautifully—others? Let's just say we're already eyeing the nearest humble pie.

Ronald Vording is sticking with his guns on the constructors' champion, and for good reason. "Mercedes' advantage won't last forever, as George Russell rightly pointed out, but their decline will be gradual," Vording explains. "In fact, their edge over the first three race weekends was even bigger than the scoreboard suggested—partially masked by the unpredictable yo-yo racing we've seen."

If there's one adjustment Vording would make to his top three, it's elevating McLaren to second. "The start has been challenging for Andrea Stella's team, but they've made real strides in understanding the power unit since Melbourne. Plus, their chassis development has historically been a strength." Behind the leading trio, Vording expects Red Bull to recover some ground—not enough to challenge Mercedes, McLaren, and Ferrari, but sufficient to beat Alpine to the "best of the rest" title. His only other swap? Flipping Audi and Williams, though he notes that Williams could still surge as they continue shedding weight.

Jake Boxall-Legge feels he was in the right ballpark with his team order. "Mercedes and Ferrari always looked a step ahead in testing, though McLaren is now closing on the Prancing Horses now that they've sorted their starts." He'd also swap Audi and Williams, but otherwise stands by his predictions. "Sure, Haas and Alpine are ahead of Red Bull in the championship right now, but that's not necessarily a true pace indicator at this stage."

Boxall-Legge points to the exciting phase ahead: "We're entering the part of the season where teams roll out their bigger development packages. Everything could shuffle." As for his picks at the back—Aston Martin and Cadillac—those likely won't change unless Cadillac has found over a second per lap, or Aston Martin has discovered some hidden pace. For now, the grid is set, but in F1, the only certainty is change.