If history is any indication, the Detroit Pistons' odds of overcoming a 3-1 series deficit are pretty low.

The 1-seed Pistons find themselves down 3-1 vs the Orlando Magic in the first-round series, one loss away from a historic defeat to the 8-seed Magic.

There have been 298 NBA teams to own a 3-1 series lead, with 285 of them (95.6%) winning the series, entering these playoffs.

Thirteen teams (4.4%) that were down 3-1 in a series ended up winning, with four happening since 2016 (though none since 2020). Those aren't great odds for the 2026 Pistons.

However, a 1-seed Pistons team in the same exact situation as this year's Pistons pulled off one of

Here is the list of the 13 teams who overcame the odds.

2020: (3) Denver Nuggets beat (2) Los Angeles Clippers, Western Conference semifinals.

2020: (3) Denver Nuggets beat (6) Utah Jazz, West first round.

2016: (1) Cleveland Cavaliers beat (1) Golden State Warriors, NBA Finals.

2016: (1) Golden State Warriors beat (3) Oklahoma City Thunder, West finals.

2015: (2) Houston Rockets beat (3) Los Angeles Clippers, West semifinals.

2006: (2) Phoenix Suns beat (7) Los Angeles Lakers, West first round.

2003: (1) Detroit Pistons beat (8) Orlando Magic, East first round.

1997: (2) Miami Heat beat (3) New York Knicks, East semifinals.

1995: (6) Houston Rockets beat (2) Phoenix Suns, West semifinals.

1981: (1) Boston Celtics beat (3) Philadelphia 76ers, East finals.

1979: (1) Washington Bullets beat (2) San Antonio Spurs, East finals.

1970: (2) Los Angeles Lakers beat (4) Phoenix Suns, Western Division semifinals.

1968: (2) Boston Celtics beat (1) Philadelphia 76ers, Eastern Division finals.

The 2003 Pistons are the only 1-seed to have ever overcome a 3-1 deficit against an 8-seed, doing it against the Magic.