Sunday is shaping up to be a massive day for baseball fans, with 15 games on the MLB schedule stretching from early afternoon into the night. With so many high-ERA starters taking the mound, it's a prime opportunity to dive into home run prop bets. We've broken down three players who have the matchups and momentum to send one deep today. Here are our top MLB HR picks for May 3.
Munetaka Murakami – New York Mets
Murakami currently leads all of MLB with 13 home runs, and he's been on an absolute tear, hitting nine homers in his last 16 games. His .937 OPS ranks 13th in the league, and he'll face Griffin Canning, who is making his first start of the season after recovering from Achilles surgery. Canning has shown improved control this year, allowing just 0.93 home runs per nine innings in 2025, compared to 1.63 the year before. But rust is a real factor here—he hasn't pitched in a big-league game in 2026. If Canning leaves anything over the plate, Murakami has the power to make him pay.
Vinnie Pasquantino – Kansas City Royals
Pasquantino hasn't quite found his power stroke yet, with just four home runs so far, but he leads the Royals in RBI (16) and is due for a breakout game. He'll face Seattle's Luis Castillo, who is off to a rough start (0-2, 6.35 ERA) and has allowed three home runs over his last two outings. Pasquantino crushed 32 homers and 33 doubles last season, and all four of his 2026 home runs have come against right-handed pitchers. Castillo is a righty, and if his recent struggles continue, Pasquantino could be the one to light up the scoreboard.
Riley Greene – Detroit Tigers
Greene is off to a strong start in 2026, hitting .298 with an .860 OPS and four home runs. He's coming off a 36-homer season and has the power to change a game with one swing. While his matchup hasn't been detailed here, his consistent bat and ability to drive the ball make him a solid candidate to go deep on any given Sunday. Keep an eye on his at-bats—when Greene is locked in, he's one of the most dangerous hitters in the Tigers' lineup.
Whether you're tracking your bets or just looking for some extra excitement during Sunday's games, these three sluggers have the matchups and momentum to make a big impact. Grab your favorite team gear, settle in for a full day of baseball, and see if these picks can deliver a little extra pop to your afternoon.