Thursday's MLB slate is packed with 11 games, giving baseball fans plenty of opportunities to dive into prop betting. If you're looking to add some excitement to your game-day experience, home run props are a fan favorite—and today's matchups offer some intriguing possibilities.
SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner, who posted an impressive 50-unit profit on MLB home run picks last season, has highlighted three standout bets for May 14. Leading the list is San Diego Padres third baseman Manny Machado, currently listed at +489 odds to go yard. Machado has been crushing it against left-handed pitching this season, boasting a 1.032 OPS. While he's been in a bit of a slump lately—hitting just .103 over his last 10 games—Fetner believes he's due for a breakout, especially facing Brewers lefty Kyle Harrison. Interestingly, Machado is 1-for-8 in his career against Harrison, and that lone hit was a home run.
Another name to watch is James Wood, who's hitting .257 with a .986 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season. Nine of his 12 home runs have come off righties, and he's facing Chase Burns, who has surrendered five of his six homers to left-handed batters. Lefties are hitting .259 with a .846 OPS against Burns, making this a favorable matchup despite Burns' sharp recent form (1.42 ERA over his last three starts).
Rounding out the picks is Liam Hicks, who's been on fire with four home runs over his last 10 road games. He's hitting .311 with a .955 OPS against right-handed pitchers, and eight of his nine homers have come off them. He'll face Zebby Matthews, who gave up nine of his 12 home runs last season to left-handed batters, who hit .316 against him.
For those looking to maximize the action, these three selections can be parlayed together for a potential return of over 150-1 on top sports betting apps. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just getting started, Thursday's MLB home run props offer plenty of opportunities to make the game even more thrilling.
