Wednesday brings a jam-packed 15-game MLB slate, giving baseball fans and bettors plenty of action from morning to night. If you're looking to spice up your game day with some home run prop bets, you're in luck—SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner has crunched the numbers and shared his top picks for May 13. After a stellar 2024 season where he racked up 50 units on his MLB home run predictions, Fetner is back with three standout players to watch.
Leading the charge is New York Yankees first baseman Ben Rice (+313). Fetner is high on Rice, noting his hot bat against right-handed pitchers this season: a .300 average and a 1.065 OPS, with eight of his 13 homers coming off righties. "He has homered twice over his last 10 road games and five over his last 20," Fetner says. The matchup works in Rice's favor too. Orioles starter Kyle Bradish has struggled lately, allowing 11 earned runs and three homers over his last three starts, and left-handed batters have given him particular trouble. Add in a home run index of 8 out of 10, and Rice's 3-for-5 career mark against Bradish—including one homer—makes this pick even more compelling.
Next up is Moises Ballesteros, who Fetner believes is due for a breakout. Despite a recent slump (.067 over his last 10 games), Ballesteros has solid numbers against right-handers: .266 with a .824 OPS and six homers, all off righties. "He has homered twice over his last 10 road games," Fetner points out. The opposing pitcher, JR Ritchie, has surrendered all four of his home runs this season to left-handed batters, and the home run index sits at another 8 out of 10. It's a prime spot for Ballesteros to rediscover his power stroke.
Rounding out the trio is Liam Hicks, who's been absolutely on fire. With a .313 average and .954 OPS against right-handed pitchers, Hicks has launched eight of his nine homers off righties. His recent tear makes him a dangerous bet to go yard again, especially given the favorable conditions Fetner has identified. For those feeling bold, parlay all three picks together for a potential payout of over 200-1—a high-risk, high-reward play that could make Wednesday's games even more thrilling.