Free MLB home run picks, odds for May 11: Expert backs Pete Alonso for Monday HR player props

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Free MLB home run picks, odds for May 11: Expert backs Pete Alonso for Monday HR player props

Free MLB home run picks, odds for May 11: Expert backs Pete Alonso for Monday HR player props

SportsLine expert Angelo "Amags" Magliocca has selected his best MLB home run props picks for Monday, May 11

Free MLB home run picks, odds for May 11: Expert backs Pete Alonso for Monday HR player props

SportsLine expert Angelo "Amags" Magliocca has selected his best MLB home run props picks for Monday, May 11

Monday's MLB schedule may be light with just six games, but the action is packed with playoff implications. The New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays, and Los Angeles Dodgers are all battling for division supremacy, making every at-bat count. The Rays visit the Toronto Blue Jays, the Baltimore Orioles host the Yankees, and the Dodgers take on the San Francisco Giants in a tightly contested NL West race.

Even with fewer games on tap, MLB prop betting offers plenty of opportunities for savvy fans. SportsLine expert Angelo "Amags" Magliocca has a proven track record of finding value in home run props, sides, and totals. Over the 2022 through 2025 seasons, he's racked up an impressive 133.4 units on straight bets and parlays, plus an additional 25.3 units on ladder plays. For Monday, he's eyeing a mix of under-the-radar names and a more popular pick that still carries solid odds.

One name drawing attention is New York Yankees rookie Spencer Jones, who made his MLB debut over the weekend in Milwaukee. Facing Brewers ace Jacob Misiorowski was a tough first test, but Monday brings a more favorable matchup against Orioles starter Brandon Young. In two home starts this season, Young has allowed three home runs in just 9 2/3 innings, and the Yankees lead the majors in home runs as a team. Young relies heavily on a four-seam fastball (50% usage) and a splitter (35%), with a curveball that generates only a 10% whiff rate. Against left-handed hitters like Jones, Young's limited pitch mix has been particularly vulnerable, as batters have been making hard contact nearly half the time. With a slower fastball than average, this could be the perfect opportunity for Jones to launch his first career home run.

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