Monday's MLB slate is packed with ten games, offering plenty of opportunities for prop bettors. With marquee matchups like Astros vs. Mariners and Mets vs. Dodgers on the schedule, the stage is set for some serious power displays. SportsLine expert Jacob Fetner, whose home run picks were up 50 units last season, has identified his top value plays for April 13th.
First on the list is Josh Lowe of the Tampa Bay Rays. Lowe has a clear platoon advantage against Nationals right-hander Cade Cavalli. Dating back to last season, Lowe is batting .282 with a .907 OPS against righties, with 31 of his 36 homers coming in those matchups. With a hitter-friendly park in Pittsburgh and a line at +550 offering significant value over his projected +265, Lowe is a strong candidate to go deep.
The premier power threat in Monday's action is Houston's Yordan Alvarez. The Astros' slugger has the platoon edge against Seattle's George Kirby and is in the midst of a hot streak, having launched three homers in his last ten road games while batting .375. While his career numbers against Kirby are modest, the underlying trends are promising: lefties have hit .257 with 12 homers against Kirby since last season, and Kirby has surrendered nine homers in his last eight home starts. At +498, Alvarez presents a compelling "he's due" opportunity.
Rounding out the picks is Milwaukee's Jackson Chourio. The young outfielder possesses explosive power and faces a favorable matchup against Cincinnati's Hunter Greene, who, despite his elite velocity, can be prone to the long ball. Chourio's aggressive approach and ability to turn on fastballs make him a live underdog in the home run market for Monday's contest.
