When the Colorado Rockies are playing at home, you know what that means: home runs are on the menu. And on Friday, May 15, the Arizona Diamondbacks roll into Coors Field, making for a perfect storm of offensive fireworks. Expert Matt Severance has crunched the numbers and is sharing his top MLB home run prop picks for the day—and one name stands out above the rest: Ketel Marte.
Let's start with the big picture. Shohei Ohtani may be the league's biggest star, but even he's hitting a rough patch. The Dodgers superstar is in one of the worst slumps of his career, and manager Dave Roberts is giving him rare days off to reset. Ohtani is a long shot (+17500) to lead the majors in homers this season, and Severance isn't betting on him Friday night against his former Angels team. Instead, all eyes are on Coors Field.
Marte, the Diamondbacks' veteran second baseman, is having another stellar season—and he's quietly making history. Earlier this week, he passed Paul Goldschmidt for the second-most games played in franchise history, trailing only Luis Gonzalez. At 32, Marte is still one of the best at his position, and he's locked into a team-friendly deal through at least 2030. With his no-trade clause recently kicking in, Arizona would need his approval to move him, but the Red Sox are reportedly interested.
Coors Field is famous for turning good hitters into great ones, and Marte is no exception. He's been crushing the ball all season, and the thin air in Denver only amplifies his power. Severance is backing Marte to go deep Friday night, and with the Rockies' pitching staff struggling, it's a bet that carries serious weight.
Severance has a proven track record, having turned a profit of $1,681 on MLB picks over the past four seasons. Last Friday, his home run picks included Juan Soto and Zach Neto—Neto was a long shot, but Soto's tough season continued. This time, Marte is the focus, and the conditions couldn't be better.
Whether you're a die-hard Diamondbacks fan or just love the thrill of a home run prop, Friday night at Coors Field is must-watch baseball. And if you're looking to add some excitement to the game, Marte is your guy.