Liverpool fans, get ready to celebrate—even if Saturday doesn't go exactly as planned. After a tough 3-2 loss to Manchester United at Old Trafford last weekend, the Reds might still punch their Champions League ticket without needing to beat Chelsea. Here's how it all shakes out.

The Blues' miserable run continued with a sixth straight Premier League defeat at home to Nottingham Forest on Monday. Combined with Everton's thrilling 3-3 draw against Manchester City, that result dashed any slim hopes Chelsea or Everton had of catching Liverpool in fourth place. The math is now heavily in Liverpool's favor.

According to Opta, Liverpool's probability of securing Champions League football for the 2026/27 season sits at a staggering 98.35%. While not mathematically guaranteed yet, it's about as close as you can get. The only teams outside the top five who could still leapfrog the Reds are Bournemouth, Brentford, and Brighton—and the path is narrowing fast.

Here's the simple version: four points from Liverpool's final three games would lock in a top-five finish, no matter what anyone else does. And they could grab three of those points on Saturday with a win over Chelsea at Anfield. That would knock Brentford and Brighton out of contention before they even kick off later that day (against Manchester City and Wolves, respectively). Bournemouth would then need to win all three of their remaining matches to catch Liverpool.

But here's where it gets interesting: even a draw could be enough. If Bournemouth loses at Fulham and both Brentford and Brighton fail to win, Liverpool would clinch a Champions League spot without a victory. In other words, the Reds just need to match or better Bournemouth's result, while hoping the Bees and Seagulls stumble.

So, whether it's a win, a draw, or a little help from elsewhere, Saturday could be a massive day for Liverpool. Keep your eyes on the scoreboard—and your Reds gear ready for the celebrations.