The 2026-27 UNC basketball roster is starting to take shape under new head coach Michael Malone, who has assembled a mix of returning players, transfers, and international talent. One of the most intriguing newcomers is Matt Able, a transfer from NC State who made a strong impression during his freshman season in Raleigh, averaging 8.8 points and 3.4 rebounds per game while shooting nearly 80 percent from the free-throw line.

However, there's a chance Able never suits up for the Tar Heels. In ESPN's latest 2026 NBA Mock Draft, Able is projected to go 39th overall to the Houston Rockets in the second round. This comes alongside fellow UNC prospect Caleb Wilson, who is mocked fourth overall to the Chicago Bulls, and Henri Veesaar, who lands at 25th overall to the aging Los Angeles Lakers.

If Able opts for the NBA, it would leave a significant hole in North Carolina's backcourt. In that scenario, Isaiah Denis or Jaydon Young could step into starting roles, while Malone might look to the transfer portal or international market for another guard.

Every college basketball player dreams of making the NBA, and with a second-round projection like this, Able has a real decision to make. But here's the thing: being a mid-second-round pick doesn't guarantee playing time at the next level. In today's college basketball landscape, NIL money is king—so why not stay in Chapel Hill, cash in, and continue developing your game?

Remember, this is just a mock draft—so don't hit the panic button just yet. Able is still likely to wear the Tar Heel blue, but you can't blame a kid for testing the professional waters. Either way, it's an exciting time for UNC basketball fans, and this roster is shaping up to be one to watch.