College football's unluckiest QBs: How dropped passes affected completion percentages in 2025

3 min read
College football's unluckiest QBs: How dropped passes affected completion percentages in 2025

College football's unluckiest QBs: How dropped passes affected completion percentages in 2025

A statistical deep dive into which quarterbacks' completion percentages were hurt the most by drops, and which benefited from receivers with hands of glue

College football's unluckiest QBs: How dropped passes affected completion percentages in 2025

A statistical deep dive into which quarterbacks' completion percentages were hurt the most by drops, and which benefited from receivers with hands of glue

In the high-stakes world of college football, a quarterback's completion percentage is often seen as the ultimate measure of accuracy. But what if we told you that some of the game's most promising signal-callers are being held back by something completely out of their control—dropped passes?

When a QB steps onto the field, they can control the play call, the read, and the throw. But once that ball leaves their hand, it's all up to the receiver. Some quarterbacks get lucky with sure-handed targets; others watch their perfectly placed passes bounce off fingertips. We dug into the data to find out which quarterbacks were the unluckiest in 2025—and which ones might be poised for a breakout if their receivers step up.

The buzz around Arch Manning has been relentless, with fans and analysts alike forming strong opinions before he even took a college snap. But watching a compilation of his dropped passes, it's hard not to wonder: is Manning's completion percentage unfairly punished by his receivers? According to PFF data, Texas wideouts dropped 22 of Manning's passes last season. That's a significant number, but it only ranks 20th nationally—meaning 19 other quarterbacks had it worse. Poor Malik Washington of Maryland might need therapy after his receivers dropped a staggering 39 of his attempts, the highest in the country. Tulane's Jake Retzlaff wasn't far behind with 31.

But raw drop totals can be misleading. A QB who throws 500 passes will naturally see more drops than one who throws 250. To find the truly unlucky, we adjusted each quarterback's completion percentage by removing dropped passes from their attempts. The difference between this adjusted rate and their actual completion percentage reveals who was most hurt by butterfingered receivers.

Arch Manning completed 61.4% of his passes in 2025, but without drops, he would have hit 64.92%—a 3.52% boost that ranked 44th nationally. That's not nothing, but it's far from the top of the list. The real standout? Michigan's Bryce Underwood. If you're looking for a quarterback whose stock could skyrocket once he gets reliable receivers, Underwood is the name to watch. His adjusted completion percentage shows he was the most victimized by drops in the entire country.

So, as you shop for your next jersey or gear up for the season, keep an eye on these quarterbacks. They might just be one reliable receiver away from superstardom. And for the fans of Maryland and Tulane? Maybe start a fund for better gloves.

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