Two teams playing out the string of a long season meet on Tuesday night as the Chicago Bulls visit the Washington Wizards. While both squads have struggled defensively, creating a sky-high point total, there's a compelling case to be made for the Under in this matchup.
The Bulls limp into Washington mired in a seven-game losing streak, with six of those losses coming by double digits. Their defense has completely collapsed during this skid, allowing a league-worst 134.7 points per game. Making matters worse, they'll be without their engine, Josh Giddey, who leads the team in scoring, rebounding, and assists due to a hamstring injury. Several other key rotation players are also sidelined or questionable, leaving Chicago severely shorthanded.
On the other side, the Wizards have cemented their place at the bottom of the NBA standings with a dismal 1-22 stretch. Their defense has been historically bad, allowing 129.3 points per game during that run, including three games where opponents scored 150 or more. On paper, this sets up as a track meet.
However, a deeper look reveals why the total of 249 points might be too ambitious. The Wizards' recent high-scoring Overs have largely come against teams fighting for playoff positioning, who have the offensive firepower to exploit them. The Bulls, decimated by injuries and struggling to find any rhythm, are a different story. In fact, Chicago has trended Under in three of its last four games, and the Under has been a common theme in the last ten head-to-head meetings between these two clubs.
With both teams lacking offensive consistency and potentially playing at a slower pace with depleted rosters, expecting them to combine for nearly 250 points is a tall order. The value in this late-season contest lies with the Under.