The tennis world was caught off guard this week as world number one Aryna Sabalenka suffered a stunning third-round exit at the Italian Open, falling to veteran Sorana Cirstea in a hard-fought three-set battle. The loss marks an early end to Sabalenka's campaign in Rome and brings a remarkable 14-month streak to a close.
Sabalenka entered the tournament hoping to bounce back after an unexpected loss to Hailey Baptiste in Madrid. She started strong in Rome, defeating Barbora Krejcikova in her opening match with confidence. But Cirstea, who has announced plans to retire after the 2026 season, had other ideas. The Romanian rallied from a set down to claim a 2-6, 6-3, 7-5 victory, snapping Sabalenka's two-match winning streak in their head-to-head series, which included a win for the Belarusian at the Brisbane International earlier this year.
This defeat carries extra weight for Sabalenka. Before arriving in Rome, she had reached at least the quarterfinals in her last 17 tournaments—a run that stretched back over a year to the Dubai Tennis Championships, where Clara Tauson eliminated her in the third round. The Italian Open has been a particularly elusive title for Sabalenka; her best result remains a runner-up finish in 2024, when she lost to Iga Swiatek in the final.
Clay season has proven challenging for the world number one in 2025. Across both Madrid and Rome, she managed just four wins from six matches, falling short of the semifinals at both events. With her early exit in Rome, Sabalenka will drop 150 points from last year's quarterfinal run, reducing her lead over second-ranked Elena Rybakina to 1,405 points in the live standings.
The gap could shrink further if Rybakina, the 2023 Italian Open champion, goes all the way in Rome. However, Rybakina has already withdrawn from the WTA 500 event in Strasbourg, meaning she'll lose 392 points regardless of her result here. The real drama may unfold at Roland Garros, where Sabalenka is defending 1,300 points from last year's final appearance, while Rybakina has just 240 to defend.
For now, the draw in Rome opens up for Rybakina, who faces Alexandra Eala next. As for Sabalenka, she'll look to regroup and find her form on clay before the French Open—a tournament where she's proven she can compete at the highest level.
