An 18-game NFL season is coming: Here's how the league can keep the balance right

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An 18-game NFL season is coming: Here's how the league can keep the balance right

An 18-game NFL season is coming: Here's how the league can keep the balance right

As the NFL moves toward an 18-game season in the next few years, the NBA's tanking-shaped stretch run offers a recent example of what can happen late in long seasons -- and what the league may need to manage to keep games competitive

An 18-game NFL season is coming: Here's how the league can keep the balance right

As the NFL moves toward an 18-game season in the next few years, the NBA's tanking-shaped stretch run offers a recent example of what can happen late in long seasons -- and what the league may need to manage to keep games competitive

The NFL is gearing up for a major shift: an 18-game regular season is on the horizon. While the change is still a few years away—likely arriving between 2028 and 2031—it promises a massive financial windfall and will undoubtedly reshape the league's calendar. The move will involve cutting a preseason game and, from the players' perspective, adding a second bye week is non-negotiable. But beyond the bargaining table and revenue splits lies a critical challenge the league must solve: maintaining competitive integrity.

As the season stretches longer, the risk of "low-leverage" games increases, potentially diluting the NFL's premier television product. More games can widen the gap between contenders and also-rans, a problem recently highlighted by the NBA's regular-season finish. This past season, the NBA faced widespread criticism for a non-competitive stretch run, with teams blatantly resting stars and "tanking" for draft position once playoff fates were sealed. The NFL, long praised for its parity, must proactively avoid a similar scenario where playoff pictures are locked in too early, rendering late-season games meaningless.

While NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell has stated tanking is not a current concern for the league, the competition committee is surely watching. The key will be crafting a schedule and playoff structure that keeps every team fighting until the final whistle. For fans and players alike, the goal of an expanded season isn't just more football—it's more meaningful football. How the league manages this balance will define the success of its new era.

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