The 2026 PGA Championship is heating up as we head into a thrilling weekend at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. With Round 3 teeing off Saturday morning, the leaderboard is packed with talent, and the stakes couldn't be higher. Defending champion Scottie Scheffler is lurking at 2 under, but he's chasing a crowded pack of eight players sitting at either 3 under or 4 under. Alex Smalley and Maverick McNealy share the lead at 4 under, setting the stage for a dramatic showdown.

Scheffler enters the weekend as the +390 favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook, meaning a $100 bet could net you $390 if he reclaims the title. Other top contenders include Cameron Young (+950), Ludvig Aberg (+1200), and McNealy (+1200), all of whom are within striking distance. Young and Aberg are both tied with Scheffler at 2 under, making the race wide open as the tournament progresses.

But before you place any bets, you'll want to check out the predictions from SportsLine's proven computer model. This advanced system, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and boasts an impressive track record. It's nailed 17 majors heading into the weekend, including the 2026 Masters (its fifth straight correct prediction), last year's PGA Championship, and the Open Championship. Following its picks could lead to massive returns on your betting sites.

For the 2026 PGA Championship, the model ran another 10,000 simulations of the weekend rounds, and the results are eye-opening. One major surprise? It projects that co-leader Alex Smalley will stumble over the weekend, barely hanging on to a top-10 finish. Despite his strong start—a 67 on Thursday followed by a 69 on Friday—Smalley is a player to avoid at +1300 odds. The 29-year-old has zero career PGA wins and only one top-10 finish in a solo event this season, so the model sees him as an unlikely contender for the trophy. Head to SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard and find out which golfers could make a run at the Wanamaker Trophy.