2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors

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2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors

2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors

SportsLine's model simulated the PGA Championship 2026 10,000 times and revealed its surprising early picks

2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 17 majors

SportsLine's model simulated the PGA Championship 2026 10,000 times and revealed its surprising early picks

The 2026 major season is off to an electric start. After Rory McIlroy defended his Masters title with a stunning second straight green jacket, all eyes now turn to the PGA Championship, set to tee off Thursday, May 14, at the historic Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania.

Defending champion Scottie Scheffler arrives as the man to beat. Fresh off a runner-up finish at both the Masters and the RBC Heritage, Scheffler is listed as the +440 favorite (risk $100 to win $440) on FanDuel. But the field is stacked. McIlroy (+750) and Jon Rahm (+1300) are right in the mix, while Cameron Young has surged to +1300 after his impressive win at the Cadillac Championship. And don't overlook Jordan Spieth at +6000—he's still chasing that elusive career Grand Slam.

But before you lock in your picks, there's a powerful tool you need to know about. SportsLine's proprietary golf model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has simulated the PGA Championship 10,000 times—and its predictions are nothing short of jaw-dropping. This same model has already nailed 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters (its fifth straight correct prediction) and last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. If you've been following its picks, you've likely seen serious returns.

Here's where it gets really interesting: the model is calling for a major surprise. Despite being an early favorite, Bryson DeChambeau is projected to barely crack the top 5. DeChambeau missed the cut at the Masters and struggled mightily in Mexico City two weeks ago, falling 16 shots behind the lead before withdrawing with wrist discomfort. That's a sharp contrast to his three straight top-five finishes at the PGA Championship—but the model sees trouble ahead.

For a deeper look at the projected leaderboard—perfect for your one-and-done contests, DFS lineups, or outright bets—head to SportsLine now. And if you're looking to get started, check out the latest DraftKings promo code offers to maximize your action. The 2026 PGA Championship is shaping up to be a classic, and you won't want to miss a single swing.

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