The 2026 PGA Championship is shaping up to be one of the most anticipated events of the golf season, especially after Rory McIlroy's thrilling back-to-back Masters victory. Now, all eyes turn to Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania, where the tournament tees off on Thursday, May 14. Defending champion Scottie Scheffler, who finished runner-up at both the Masters and the recent RBC Heritage, enters as the early favorite at +350 odds. But with a stacked field and plenty of storylines, this year's championship promises plenty of drama.
According to the latest odds from FanDuel, Scheffler leads the pack, followed closely by McIlroy at +650. Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm are both listed at +1200, while Cameron Young has surged to +1400 after his impressive win at the Cadillac Championship. Other notable contenders include Xander Schauffele (+1500) and Matt Fitzpatrick (+1800). But before you place your bets or build your fantasy lineup, there's one tool that's been remarkably accurate in predicting major winners: SportsLine's golf simulation model.
Built by DFS pro Mike McClure, this proprietary model has simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and has an uncanny track record. It's correctly predicted 17 major championships, including the 2026 Masters—marking its fifth consecutive Masters win—as well as last year's PGA Championship and The Open Championship. Golf fans who have followed its picks have seen serious returns on betting sites.
So, what does the model say about the 2026 PGA Championship? After running the numbers 10,000 times, the results are surprising. One major shock: despite being a top contender at +1200, Bryson DeChambeau is projected to barely crack the top five. DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2026 Masters and struggled at the Mexico City event two weeks ago, falling 16 shots behind the leader. That inconsistency has the model questioning his chances at Aronimink.
Whether you're making PGA picks, entering one-and-done contests, or setting your PGA DFS lineups, the model's projected leaderboard is a must-see. Head to SportsLine now to uncover the full predictions and get ahead of the field for what promises to be an unforgettable major championship.