The countdown to the 2026 PGA Championship is on, and this year's field at Aronimink Golf Club is packed with history, drama, and a few familiar faces hoping to rewrite their own stories. Thanks to the tournament's lifetime exemption for past winners, over a dozen former champions—including Jason Dufner, Brooks Koepka, and Martin Kaymer—are teeing it up again. For these three, it's a golden opportunity to add another major to their résumés, especially since they wouldn't have otherwise qualified for the year's second major, which kicks off Thursday.
While all three are considered longshots, Koepka stands out with PGA Championship odds of +4000 as he chases a fourth win in this major. But the spotlight shines brightest on Scottie Scheffler, the reigning champion and the +480 favorite. Two-time winner Rory McIlroy isn't far behind at +850, with Cameron Young (+1200), Jon Rahm (+1500), and Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200) also in the mix. Before you place any bets, you'll want to see the expert predictions from a proven model that has nailed 17 majors—including the 2026 Masters and last year's PGA Championship.
SportsLine's proprietary golf betting model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every PGA Tour event 10,000 times. This same model has been on fire, correctly calling five Masters in a row and delivering spot-on picks for last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Now that the 2026 field is set, the model has run the numbers again—and the results are surprising.
One key takeaway: Cameron Young, the world No. 3 and the third favorite on the odds board, is projected to stumble and miss the top five entirely. Young has had a breakout season, winning The Players and the Cadillac Championship, but his major record tells a different story. He's 0-for-19 in major tournaments, with as many missed cuts (seven) as top-25 finishes. Over his last three PGA Championship starts, he's finished 47th, 63rd, and missed the cut entirely. While Young is one of the best ball strikers on tour—ranking in the top 25 in every major category—his putting remains a liability, sitting 50th in strokes gained. For a course like Aronimink, that could be the difference between glory and another early exit.