The countdown to the 2026 Kentucky Derby is on, and the excitement at Churchill Downs is building toward a thrilling "Run for the Roses" this Saturday, May 2. While many fans will naturally gravitate toward the top of the morning-line odds when placing their bets, seasoned horse racing enthusiasts know that the real value often lies deeper in the field. This year, three longshots are tied at 50-1: Intrepido, Six Speed, and Great White. If any of these thoroughbreds pull off an upset, they could turn a modest wager into a life-changing payday. The race is set to go to post at 6:57 p.m. ET, and with 19 horses remaining after The Puma (originally 10-1) scratched, the competition is wide open.

At the top of the odds board, Renegade leads the pack as the 4-1 favorite, followed closely by Further Ado and Commandment at 6-1 each. Chief Wallabee is the only other colt at single-digit odds, sitting at 8-1. But history is not on the favorite's side—no top choice has won the Kentucky Derby since 2018, a trend that could shake up your betting strategy. That's where expert insight becomes invaluable. Enter Jody Demling, a fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing, talking, and betting on the sport for years. Demling has an incredible track record, nailing the Kentucky Oaks-Derby double 12 times in the last 17 years. Last year alone, he predicted the top three finishers in the correct order, cashing a $1,682 superfecta, and also called the exacta in the Preakness. If you've followed his picks on horse racing betting sites, you know the results speak for themselves.

For the 2026 Derby, Demling is sharing his best bets and predictions, and one of his most surprising calls is fading Renegade, the morning-line favorite. With history stacked against the favorite and a field full of potential, Demling's analysis could be your key to a winning day at the track. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or a casual fan looking to add some excitement to your Derby experience, his picks offer a strategic edge. So, as you gear up for the big race, consider looking beyond the favorites—and remember, the most memorable Derby moments often come from the unexpected. Get ready for a fantastic day of horse racing, and may your bets bring you home a winner.